About Me
I have a lot of interests. Among them:
Product Management. I like building useful things. And product is a job where you
get to do just that. I want to build lots of useful things in my lifetime, and long-term
be a key part of building at least one big useful thing (probably a software company).
Product is synergistic with that long-term goal: it lets you practice building, just
within a narrower scope.
STEM Immigration Expansion. My parents are immigrants. I believe that expanding
STEM immigration is by far the single greatest lever the United States has to improve
its long-term prosperity. The ability to attract highly skilled immigrants is America’s
greatest advantage - and we squander it.
Countless examples of immigrants who had
massive impact- Katalin Karikó (messenger RNA/Covid vaccine), Elon Musk (Tesla,
SpaceX),
Sergey Brin (Google) show that just one immigrant can drive the creation of hundreds
of thousands of jobs, technological advancement, and health breakthroughs. Yet we
turn
away over 300,000 potential Karikós and Musks each year... With the current
H1B system, each year we get applications from >450,000 world-class minds and draw
straws to choose just a third of them... randomly. In a lottery. Primarily
for
political reasons, we choose to leave our prosperity to... luck.
Defense and Security. I’ve long been interested in foreign policy and defense. I
spent a summer in Korea with the State Department as part of the National Security
Language Initiative for Youth (NSLI-Y), studied political science in college,
and have
long followed foreign affairs closely. Simply put, I don’t believe order is a given. Yet
all prosperity is founded on the basis of security; given that, security seems a rather
high impact area. At the same time, since the “last supper” in 1993, it appears our
superbly consolidated defense industry has become too unwieldy to build the modern and
intelligent hardware-software platforms that I think will define warfare.
Renewable Energy and Sustainability. I’ve long had an interest in renewables.
Before I started my first full-time job in consulting, I got pretty good at selling cars
for Tesla (ask me for my 1-minute sales pitch). In consulting, I worked on EV charging
station buildout strategy for Exelon; I also joined the Clean Energy Leadership
Institute, where I made a lot of friends who work in clean energy. A company I
used to
work at, Optoro, has a mission to drive sustainability in the retail space by building
solutions to efficiently handle returns, which there are rather a lot of as the shift to
e-commerce continues.
Today, I believe that without nuclear for baseload generation, we will continue to be
wedded to generation via fossil fuels.
Real Estate. My first internship was at a real estate private equity firm, JBG
(now JBG Smith, NYSE: JBGS). I also closed in April 2020 on the sale of a SFH I bought a
few years ago. I’ve always found real estate a fascinating asset class, not least for
its prominent role in American notions of success and prosperity.
I generally believe that in most cases, real estate investing is not a great way
for individuals to generate differentiated, risk-adjusted returns¹, especially in
most
major cities. I think the most compelling case to make for it is on the basis of
appreciation (supplemented by income), yet only in exceptional situations. As
Robert
Shiller has shown, at the national level historically there has been no
continuous
uptrend in real home prices.
Paradoxically, I think one can see predictable short-term appreciation,
particularly in situations of high intensity migration of high-income workers
(LinkedIn’s
Workforce Reports are excellent for monitoring this). In other words, from
simple supply and demand, influenced by local regulation (Shiller’s land
restrictions
point; e.g., SF). Recent examples include migration to SF for tech and migration
from SF
to Seattle (Shiller’s mobility point).
AI/Machine Learning. I worked on a machine learning-driven product at Optoro. For
us, the value of AI came from automation, from labor efficiency in use cases where tons
and tons of relatively simple decisions need to be made and the data was already
structured.
More recently, I helped my brother launch Kawaii, an app
that’s reached the top 25 in
the Google Play store for Art and Design. It primarily uses a tuned version of Stable
Diffusion to generate anime images.
Politics/Economics/Policy. One of my college majors was political science; going
into college I actually thought I’d be a career diplomat. To that end, I did NSLI-Y and
then took a gap year to serve with AmeriCorps, teaching math and reading to 1st, 2nd,
7th, 8th, and 12th graders in rural Washington State. I spent a lot of that year at the
top of a mountain reading philosophy, policy, and politics books. I’m still learning
about policy across energy, redistribution, taxation, and the like.
Public Markets Investing and Personal Finance. I really enjoy searching public
markets for good deals across equities and fixed income. I'm also really into personal
finance and pretty knowledgeable about all things taxes, retirement accounts, and credit
card
points (remnant of my time in consulting). I also manage cash flow and do the books for
my brother's app business and set up his S-corp and solo 401k.
1. Real estate investing also involves a host of tax considerations, from the mortgage
interest deduction to qualified business income deductions and depreciation, but I omitted
those here, focusing purely on the viability from a cash return standpoint. My thinking
generally is that tax considerations usually don’t move the needle sufficiently to flip an
investment from a “don’t do” to a “do”, especially relative to other investments. I
generally prefer to think of these considerations, as well as the availability of leverage,
as tailwinds to boost the exceptions I mention vs. reasons to make the investment in the
first place.